Cincinnati Looks to Take Rubber Match against Chicago Cubs (07/08/2018)
Vegas Odds and MLB Picks: Cincinnati Reds at Chicago Cubs
The Cincinnati Reds will attempt to get back into the winner’s circle and will look capture the rubber match as they get ready to resume hostilities against the Chicago Cubs. The two NL Central Division rivals are scheduled to compete in the final installment of a three-game series with the contest set to be broadcasted on the FOX Sports network (Ohio) Sunday afternoon at 2:20 p.m. ET and live from Wrigley Field in Chicago.
The two division rivals are engaged in the fourth of six series this season. The first series was cut short to just a game when the other was postponed due to inclement weather. It was made up in the second set back in May which the Reds lost three of four on home soil. The Reds rebounded by sweeping a four-game series at home two weeks ago. After losing the opener of the series on Friday, the Cubs rallied from a 3-run deficit to beat the Reds 8-7 on Saturday.
The Cubs, who entered their last home series before the All-Star break on Friday, come in into this contest as a -155 home favorite, according to Bovada Sportsbook, with the total sitting on 8.5 runs. RH Luis Castillo (5-8, 5.53 ERA) will attempt to get back into the winner’s circle as he takes the mound for the Reds while LH Jon Lester (11-2, 2.25 ERA) will look to capture his seventh consecutive win as he gets the call in the finale for the Cubs.
Castillo posted his best result of the year in his last trip to the mound despite not winning. The 25-year allowed a run across six hits with no walks and six strikeouts in 6 2/3 innings in a no-decision against the White Sox back on Monday. Castillo limited baserunners to great effect and wasn’t even scored upon until the bullpen allowed an inherited runner to score. The Dominican Republic native is 1-0 with a 2.16 ERA in 3-career starts against the Cubs.
Lester is having a Cy Young Award type of season as he continues to rack-up victories after victories. The 34-year old allowed two runs on nine hits with three walks and five strikeouts in five innings in an 11-10 win against the Twins a week ago. The veteran lefty has allowed two runs or fewer in eleven of his last twelve starts. The Tacoma native, who won his lone start against the Reds this year, is 6-1 with a 4.07 ERA in 14-career starts vs. Cincinnati.
Prediction: Chi. Cubs 5 – Cincinnati 1
Team record: 39-50 SU
Cincinnati is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
Cincinnati is 14-5 SU in its last 19 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cincinnati’s last 7 games
Team record: 50-36 SU
Chi Cubs is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Chi Cubs’s last 14 games
Chi Cubs is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games at home
Cincinnati at Cleveland Monday, July 9
Chicago at San Francisco Monday, July 9